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How do you test whether intelligence is genuinely additional?

Touchline Signal research deskSection 09Page 7 of 17Last updated 3 Nov 2026
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Use an evidence ledger that separates new evidence, new interpretation, corroboration and faster delivery. Do not collapse them into one count of “insights”.

For each recruitment question, record the baseline answer before reviewing the challenger’s output.

Field What to record
Question The specific uncertainty to resolve
Baseline result Answer, source, remaining uncertainty and staff time
Supplier result Finding, source, date, competition/season and limitations
Contribution type New observation; new supported interpretation; independent corroboration; workflow acceleration; duplication
Practical consequence Advance, reject, seek another match, commission live observation, or leave unresolved
Verification Reviewer, supporting evidence and any disagreement

Recommended acceptance tests:

  1. Traceability: can a reviewer reach the underlying match, event, report or documented observation?
  2. Novelty: could the baseline already answer the question under equivalent task conditions?
  3. Materiality: does the finding alter the next action or resolve a named uncertainty?
  4. Independence: is the second opinion genuinely independent, or does it reuse the same source and model?
  5. Reproducibility: can another evaluator follow the evidence and understand the conclusion?

Count a defensible rejection as a useful result. Do not reward agreement with the scouting lead automatically: a supported challenge may be more valuable.

Avoid double counting. Award additional-evidence value under criterion 1 and reduced task handling under criterion 5. Treat independent corroboration as corroboration, not a second novel observation.

Is a same-shortlist trial sufficient?

It tests assessment, but the recommended trial should also include a separate discovery task. Give every supplier the same role brief, markets, evidence requirements and constraints without supplying candidate names. Then check the returned candidates against the baseline and the brief.

Keep discovery and assessment results separate. A supplier could add useful assessment depth without improving discovery, or identify candidates that it cannot support with sufficient evidence.

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